Everything You Already Knew About the Primary Elections But Wanted Confirmed by an Expert

As a student deep in the throes of a Masters degree in Political Science, one would have thought that I would have been enraptured by every triviality that “Super Tuesday” had to offer (of which there was no apparent shortage). After all, what could be more important than the primary elections? Absolutely nothing, if we are to judge by the rabid enthusiasm of Wolf Blitzer.

Alas, I have no stomach for electoral politics, and even less so for the parasitic television coverage and mindless punditry that plagues it. Thus, out of a misguided sense of obligation I decided to indulge my wife and eschew CNN in favour of American Idol, a show where the dreams of the adolescent contestants are fuelled by the very same naïve optimism that powers the race for the presidency.

Without further ado, here are my thoughts on Super Tuesday:

1. Too much emphasis is placed on the primaries. The overwhelming majority of voters will remain loyal to their chosen party regardless of which candidate wins the nomination. We would do well to remember this. In a political system as polarized as that of the present-day United States, a glorified leadership convention does not an election make.

2. The Republican nomination was a lock over a year ago (if not two). In the spring of 2006 I officially predicted a McCain presidency. I obviously stand by that prediction. Huckabee is a red-herring, do not be distracted by any such nonsense that would attempt to portray him as a ‘regional candidate’ or some such thing. The Republicans have no need for a regional candidate—especially in a region that, by and large, will vote Republican no matter who’s name is on the ballot. A powerful Republican ticket would be McCain-Romney.

3. The Democratic race is far more interesting. I agree that the race is too close to call. I am suspicious of Clinton and her political aspirations. I am also weary of Obama’s lack of experience, which might begin to show as the pressure mounts. Obama may have some momentum behind him, but never underestimate the political savvy of the Clinton team. I refuse to offer any additional insight.

4. See 1, above.


~ by Sean Best on February 7, 2008.

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